Wednesday, May 23. 2007Laughing out out out out out out out loudTrackbacks
Trackback specific URI for this entry
No Trackbacks
Comments
Display comments as
(Linear | Threaded)
Thing is, he doesn't have to represent a specific hand. Your failure to reraise the turn bet and (especially) the check on the river looks weak. At that point the pot is big enough to make any bet but all-in an automatic call, even with only top pair.
It doesn't really matter what he was trying to represent: you clearly didn't have either of them. Of course the reraise on the turn tends to be the place where I lose all my money, so what the hell do I know? I do think I would have bet higher than 75% with that flop though. Too many limping drawing hands. Comment (1)
Exactly, he represents strength but I can't believe he holds a straight on the turn anything close to 100% of the time, and likewise for the flush on the river.
A hand that smooth calls the flop and then raises the river is usually better than one pair, so if it wasn't for my straight draw it's all over on the turn. I made a somewhat loose call only because a made straight almost always throws out a clever min-raise there, or checks to "trap". However, if he does hold the straight, his reraise is actually the perfect size and I haven't played many hands with him - he could be a very good player and I don't know how powerful he is. I also didn't really consider how I would extract when I hit. A board showing 6789 or 789J will get a check behind from most two-pair and sets, so I needed to be sure he'd call $15 on the river 100% percent of the time, or his remaining $25 60% of the time. Also I need to be ahead every time I make the straight. Clearly this isn't the case. I think 3-betting the turn is spewage. He's already told me that he's beating TP4K and just because it was a bluff this time (albeit an overly elaborate and foolish one) doesn't mean it will be very often. There's no room for manouve with the stacks as they are and you end up committing yourself with a weak hand where you are only being called if you're way behind. Comment (1)
Add Comment
|
CalendarQuicksearchArchivesCategories
Blog AdministrationPowered byTimezonesStoke:01:16 PM Las Vegas:05:16 AM Copyright |
T
(9 Players)
K

