May 2007
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Stat attack: 25,000 hand checkup (part 2)

Nope, nothing really interesting happened.  Still, it’s less than ten weeks before I’ll be in Vegas.. bear with me during the dark weeks :)

7. Pocket pairs

I play 93.6% of pocket pairs, and raise them preflop 43.3%.  I do have negative lines for 77, 66, 44 and 22 though.  I don’t see any major problems, just a few big pots I lost with a set against a rivered flush, or a full house against quads, etc.  I do still think I might need to dump small pairs in early position because I often struggle to get a big enough payoff when it gets raised ahead of me and I do flop a set.

8. Suited connectors

Profitable to the tune of 9BB/100.  I cold called with a suited connector only 12 times, mostly KQs and QJs.  Overall I lost, but it’s a pretty small sample size.  The hands I played were almost all only for a tiny raise and in position.  Doesn’t feel like there’s much wrong here.

9. Unsuited connectors

Leak.  Only a small one, but I’m losing 1BB/100 with unsuited connectors.  This includes AKo, which I’m nearly $90 down on.  That’s because of some big pots I lost with top pair vs a set or two pair.  I’m getting more confident playing AK now, and feel like I lose less when I’m beaten, so I expect this figure to improve.  I’ve cold-called unsuited connectors 11 times and won once.  Seven times it was with JTo and the one pot I did win was very small.  Mental note made.

10. Postflop aggression

Wow, I c-bet a lot.  After a preflop raise, I bet or raise the flop 77.8% of the time.  Is that too high, if the guide I’m referring to says "at least 40%"?  Well I don’t think so, because filtering my hands on just these situations, I’ve made 122BB/100 when I continuation bet and when they lead out and I get to raise, the win rate soars to a phenominal 191BB/100.  I can live with that.

My overall postflop aggression factor is 2.83.  Plenty.  However this is mostly from my flop play: 4.12 on the flop, 1.83 on the turn and 1.90 on the river.  It’s not exactly passive on the later streets, but I wonder if this shows that I slow down a little too quickly and could be betting and raising a little more.

11. Check-raising

I’ve check-raised 111 times, 1.11% in total.  Every one of them, naturally, felt great.  I’m not doing it excessively, and overall the hands where I’ve check-raised show my biggest win rate: 449BB/100.  Of course this figure is pretty meaningless, because I’m usually only check-raising with my strongest hands and by its nature a check-raise builds nice big pots.  Still, it looks good just to finish with such an impressive figure!

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